Elon
W-L: (22-27) PR = 91.9011Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 13- 1 214 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 7- 5 214 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 17- 4 217 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 6- 4 220 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 4- 4 222 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 7-12 224 H Longwood BSO ( 6- 4, 94.0) 3- 8 227 H Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 3- 2 228 H Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 3- 0 301 A Fordham A10 ( 3- 4, 90.4) 4- 3 303 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 1- 8 306 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 1- 1 307 H North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 8- 3 308 H North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 11- 8 310 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 2- 0 313 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 7- 8 314 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 0- 8 317 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 3- 4 320 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 5-17 321 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 3-11 322 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 7-17 324 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 1-11 327 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 3- 6 328 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 7- 9 329 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 2- 8 331 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 8- 7 403 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 10- 3 404 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 11- 3 404 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 5- 6 407 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 6- 8, 92.2) 11-14 410 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 6- 8 411 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 1-13 412 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 9- 4 414 H Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 3-13 417 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 10- 6 418 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 1- 7 419 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 10- 5 421 A Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 10- 8 424 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 8- 9 425 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 1- 5 426 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 1- 8 501 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 4- 5 502 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 5- 2 503 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 7- 5 505 A South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 4-18 508 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 5- 6 509 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 1-11 510 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 3-11 512 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 10- 3 514 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 11- 4 514 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 6- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Delaware 13- 1 12 0 +++ 11.56
214 H Delaware 7- 5 2 0 1.56
214 H Delaware 17- 4 13 0 +++ 12.56
217 A West Georgia 6- 4 2 0 1.85
220 H The Citadel 4- 4 0 -2 + 2.36
222 A Charleston Southern 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.84
224 H Longwood 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.62
227 H Fairfield 3- 2 1 0 1.46
228 H Fairfield 3- 0 3 0 + 3.46
301 A Fordham 4- 3 1 1 0.20
303 H Nebraska 1- 8 -7 -4 - -2.53
306 A Villanova 1- 1 0 1 -0.90
307 H North Carolina A&T 8- 3 5 2 + 2.55
308 H North Carolina A&T 11- 8 3 2 0.55
310 A NC State 2- 0 2 -5 +++ 7.16
313 A UNC Wilmington 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.09
314 A UNC Wilmington 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.91
317 A East Carolina 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 4.51
320 A Northeastern 5-17 -12 -3 --- -8.80
321 H West Virginia 3-11 -8 -6 - -2.43
322 A Northeastern 7-17 -10 -3 --- -6.80
324 A Wake Forest 1-11 -10 -6 - -3.96
327 H Monmouth 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.50
328 H Monmouth 7- 9 -2 -1 -1.50
329 H Monmouth 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.50
331 H Queens University 8- 7 1 3 -1.80
403 A North Carolina A&T 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.90
404 A North Carolina A&T 11- 3 8 1 +++ 6.90
404 A North Carolina A&T 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.10
407 A Gardner-Webb 11-14 -3 -1 -1.99
410 A Jacksonville State 6- 8 -2 -6 + 3.86
411 H William & Mary 1-13 -12 1 --- -13.06
412 H William & Mary 9- 4 5 1 + 3.94
414 H Winthrop 3-13 -10 1 --- -10.52
417 A Campbell 10- 6 4 -4 +++ 8.14
418 A Campbell 1- 7 -6 -4 -1.86
419 A Campbell 10- 5 5 -4 +++ 9.14
421 A Winthrop 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.83
424 H UNC Wilmington 8- 9 -1 -2 0.74
425 H UNC Wilmington 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.26
426 H UNC Wilmington 1- 8 -7 -2 -- -5.26
501 A William & Mary 4- 5 -1 0 -0.70
502 A William & Mary 5- 2 3 0 + 3.30
503 A William & Mary 7- 5 2 0 + 2.30
505 A South Carolina Upstate 4-18 -14 -4 --- -10.26
508 H Charleston 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.47
509 H Charleston 1-11 -10 -1 --- -9.47
510 H Charleston 3-11 -8 -1 --- -7.47
512 A Queens University 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.55
514 H Hawai'i 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 8.08
514 H Northwestern 6- 5 1 0 0.94
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Northeastern 5-17 -12 -3 --- -8.80 322 A Northeastern 7-17 -10 -3 --- -6.80 411 H William & Mary 1-13 -12 1 --- -13.06 414 H Winthrop 3-13 -10 1 --- -10.52 505 A South Carolina Upstate 4-18 -14 -4 --- -10.26 509 H Charleston 1-11 -10 -1 --- -9.47 510 H Charleston 3-11 -8 -1 --- -7.47 314 A UNC Wilmington 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.91 329 H Monmouth 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.50 426 H UNC Wilmington 1- 8 -7 -2 -- -5.26 222 A Charleston Southern 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.84 224 H Longwood 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.62 303 H Nebraska 1- 8 -7 -4 - -2.53 321 H West Virginia 3-11 -8 -6 - -2.43 324 A Wake Forest 1-11 -10 -6 - -3.96 327 H Monmouth 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.50 404 A North Carolina A&T 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.10 425 H UNC Wilmington 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Delaware 13- 1 12 0 +++ 11.56 214 H Delaware 17- 4 13 0 +++ 12.56 310 A NC State 2- 0 2 -5 +++ 7.16 404 A North Carolina A&T 11- 3 8 1 +++ 6.90 417 A Campbell 10- 6 4 -4 +++ 8.14 419 A Campbell 10- 5 5 -4 +++ 9.14 514 H Hawai'i 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 8.08 317 A East Carolina 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 4.51 403 A North Carolina A&T 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.90 512 A Queens University 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.55 220 H The Citadel 4- 4 0 -2 + 2.36 228 H Fairfield 3- 0 3 0 + 3.46 307 H North Carolina A&T 8- 3 5 2 + 2.55 313 A UNC Wilmington 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.09 410 A Jacksonville State 6- 8 -2 -6 + 3.86 412 H William & Mary 9- 4 5 1 + 3.94 421 A Winthrop 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.83 502 A William & Mary 5- 2 3 0 + 3.30 503 A William & Mary 7- 5 2 0 + 2.30 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 13- 1 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.57 11.33
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 7- 5 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.57 11.33
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 17- 4 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.57 11.33
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 6- 4 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.57 11.66
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 4- 4 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 0.57 0.00
3 A Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 7-12 -6.52 11.91 0.68 0.57 -1.66
3 H Longwood ( 6- 4, 94.0) 3- 8 -5.94 12.48 -0.68 0.57 -1.88
3 H Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 3- 2 -6.87 11.56 -0.68 0.57 12.34
3 H Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 3- 0 -6.87 11.56 -0.68 0.57 12.34
3 A Fordham ( 3- 4, 90.4) 4- 3 -9.47 8.96 0.68 0.57 10.92
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 1- 8 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.57 -1.00
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 1- 1 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.57 0.00
3 H North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 8- 3 -9.77 8.66 -0.68 0.57 9.05
3 H North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 11- 8 -9.77 8.66 -0.68 0.57 9.05
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 2- 0 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.57 17.68
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 7- 8 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.57 -1.39
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 0- 8 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.57 -1.39
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 3- 4 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.57 -0.71
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 5-17 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.57 -1.36
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 3-11 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.57 -0.69
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 7-17 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.57 -1.36
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 1-11 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.57 -0.55
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 3- 6 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.57 -2.13
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 7- 9 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.57 -2.13
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 2- 8 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.57 -2.13
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 8- 7 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.57 8.65
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 10- 3 -9.77 8.66 0.68 0.57 10.58
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 11- 3 -9.77 8.66 0.68 0.57 10.58
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 5- 6 -9.77 8.66 0.68 0.57 -2.58
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 6- 8, 92.2) 11-14 -7.67 10.76 0.68 0.57 -1.98
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 6- 8 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.57 -0.61
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 1-13 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 0.57 -2.57
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 9- 4 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 0.57 10.63
3 H Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 3-13 -7.84 10.58 -0.68 0.57 -2.41
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 10- 6 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.57 16.52
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 1- 7 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.57 -1.09
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 10- 5 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.57 16.52
3 A Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 10- 8 -7.84 10.58 0.68 0.57 12.77
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 8- 9 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.57 -1.78
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 1- 5 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.57 -1.78
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 1- 8 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.57 -1.78
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 4- 5 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.57 -2.18
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 5- 2 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.57 12.16
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 7- 5 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.57 12.16
3 A South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 4-18 -4.93 13.50 0.68 0.57 -1.21
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 5- 6 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.57 -2.12
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 1-11 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.57 -2.12
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 3-11 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.57 -2.12
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 10- 3 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.57 10.18
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 11- 4 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.57 13.05
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 6- 5 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.57 11.76
------
217.93
|
winning pts = 262.6050 losing points = -44.6784
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------